Tracking the 2008 US presidential election

This is an up to date graph of the Obama and McCain contracts at intrade.com:

This is Obama’s contract (more details here):
Price for 2008 Presidential Election Winner (Individual) at intrade.com

This is McCain’s contract (more details here):
Price for 2008 Presidential Election Winner (Individual) at intrade.com

This is what the latest polls say

And this is how the red/blue/purple state map looks like

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